A Five Headed Market

Many stock indices have recovered substantially from the lows in March. However, a lot of that is simply due to the largest 5 stocks in the market. (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and Google)

Here is the average return of the top 5 stocks vs. the Wilshire 5000 return minus those 5 stocks (value-weighted).

Average return of the 5 largest stocks and the rest of the market (value-weighted)

While you have seen your returns go up outside those 5 stocks, you can see you are well below your all time high.

The question is how is this gap made up? Do the top 5 stocks fall? Do the bottom thousands of stocks rally? We’ll see what happens.

Finally Passing the Test

Cases continue to run way above Italy’s +14 day pace. However, there is some good news on the graph today.

US vs. Italy (+14) new cases

The good news is that FINALLY testing is catching up. For the first time we have positive cases less than 5% of total tests. And testing is going up and cases are going down.

The next question is will this trend continue as states try to reopen.